Raufoss II vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
14º
14º
73
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FVI
6 - 0
RAU
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RAU
2 - 1
SPJ
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
ELV
3 - 0
RAU
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
0 - 2
FLO
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
2 - 4
BRU
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EID
4 - 1
HON
62%
19%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
VFC
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 3
HON
13%
19%
69%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
HOD
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
HON
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |