Raufoss II vs Florø analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
14º
14º
30
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
2 - 4
BRU
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
5 - 0
RAU
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
0 - 2
MOL
18%
18%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EID
2 - 1
RAU
93%
6%
2%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
RAU
3 - 3
HOD
17%
17%
67%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Florø
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 4
SOF
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
FLO
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 6
EID
9%
17%
74%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VFC
2 - 2
FLO
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
FVI
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |