Raris CF vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+148%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raris CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
6 - 1
RAR
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 1
RAR
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
RAR
0 - 2
ESC
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SOC
4 - 1
RAR
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
RAR
6 - 4
VAL
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
EST
49%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
SIL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
EST
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
SOC
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |