Räppe vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
4º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Räppe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 0
RAP
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FBK
1 - 5
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 3
HAS
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 0
TRE
71%
16%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 4
RAP
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 0
VMA
72%
15%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KRI
1 - 2
SIM
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 1
BER
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
HAS
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 0
SIM
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |