Raplamaa vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raplamaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SSP
6 - 2
RAP
59%
18%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
KEI
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 2
RAP
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
RAP
72%
15%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SJL
1 - 2
RAP
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAB
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
PAI
53%
21%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HLA
4 - 0
PAR
33%
23%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 2
SJL
84%
11%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
NOU
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |