Rapid de Murillo vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 2
RAP
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
RAP
3 - 1
CIU
54%
24%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 0
RAP
74%
18%
9%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RAP
0 - 0
ADF
10%
18%
72%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ANG
2 - 1
RAP
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 4
VAR
19%
24%
58%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 1
RIV
25%
25%
51%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEN
30%
24%
45%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CIU
2 - 4
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |