Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
6º
5º
40
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
37 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
AUS
1 - 2
RAP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 1
WOL
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 0
FCB
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FCB
2 - 1
RAP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
WOL
5 - 1
RAP
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
STR
4 - 2
RBS
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCB
0 - 1
STR
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
AUS
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
AUS
2 - 1
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
FCB
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |