Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
5º
5º
46
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
6 - 1
WIS
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 2
RAP
5%
12%
83%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
RAP
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
ACM
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
AWM
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 4
STR
6%
12%
82%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 4
RYV
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |