Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RAP
4 - 1
AUS
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LAS
3 - 3
RAP
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 3
HAP
56%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 0
RIE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
AUK
1 - 3
RAP
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
STR
0 - 2
RIE
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
STR
0 - 1
PAN
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
STR
4 - 0
AUK
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 2
STR
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |