Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RAP
4 - 2
AUK
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AUK
1 - 3
RAP
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
RAP
6 - 0
KAP
64%
19%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 3
RAP
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 0
RIE
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 0
STR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STR
1 - 0
MAT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AUK
4 - 2
STR
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
RIE
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
AUS
2 - 0
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |