Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
MAT
1 - 0
RAP
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
RBS
4 - 0
RAP
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RAP
1 - 1
SVP
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
RAP
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
WIN
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SVP
1 - 0
STR
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
STR
0 - 2
GRA
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
ALT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |