Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
RBS
0 - 1
RAP
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUS
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 2
RAP
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RAP
2 - 1
SWB
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
RAP
0 - 0
SCP
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
GRA
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AWM
0 - 0
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
SVP
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MAT
1 - 1
STR
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AUS
3 - 0
STR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |