Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
RAP
1 - 1
LOK
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
AUK
1 - 0
RAP
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1986 |
RAP
2 - 1
SWA
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
RAP
4 - 1
VIE
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BRU
3 - 3
RAP
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
STR
3 - 0
VIE
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
5 - 2
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 3
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STR
0 - 0
EIS
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |