Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1986 |
LAS
2 - 2
RAP
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1986 |
RAP
4 - 6
AUS
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
AUS
1 - 3
RAP
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1986 |
RAP
5 - 3
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
RAP
2 - 0
AUK
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1986 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
AUK
0 - 5
STR
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
AUS
2 - 0
STR
74%
14%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
STR
1 - 0
SSW
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
AUS
3 - 2
STR
77%
15%
9%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |