Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
RAP
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
RBS
1 - 1
RAP
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
RAP
5 - 1
AUS
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
0 - 3
RAP
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
RAP
0 - 0
LIN
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1981 |
STR
4 - 5
WIE
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
WIE
0 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
RBS
1 - 3
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
STR
1 - 1
AUS
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |