Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Rapid Wien vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
TIR
1 - 2
RAP
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
RAP
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
RAP
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
AUS
4 - 1
RAP
46%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1995 |
RAP
4 - 1
RIE
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCP
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
RAP
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
UDL
1 - 2
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
SLB
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |