Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-5
Rapid Wien vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 2
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 1
RAP
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RAP
0 - 1
ALT
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
RAP
1 - 1
STR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AWM
1 - 1
RAP
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SEI
2 - 0
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 1
RAP
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
IFK
1 - 2
HJK
33%
24%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HJK
0 - 6
FCB
6%
14%
79%
|
78 | 96 | 18 | 0 |