Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final
First leg 2-0
Rapid Wien vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
DEC
0 - 2
RAP
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
FCU
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
5 - 2
ZIL
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
LIS
0 - 1
RAP
21%
23%
57%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SCH
0 - 5
RAP
5%
13%
82%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
DEC
0 - 2
RAP
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
SIL
2 - 1
DEC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
DEC
2 - 0
SIL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SUT
0 - 3
DEC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |