Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-2
Rapid Wien vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
STR
2 - 4
RAP
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
RAP
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
RAP
4 - 0
WIE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 2
RAP
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LAS
0 - 0
RAP
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
RAP
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ATR
0 - 0
TRI
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 1
GIA
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAO
1 - 0
TRI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
PAO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |