Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-3
Rapid Wien vs APOP Kinyras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 1
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
VLZ
0 - 3
RAP
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
RAP
5 - 0
VLZ
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
KAP
0 - 4
RAP
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
RAP
2 - 3
MAT
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
APOP Kinyras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
AEL
0 - 2
APO
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
APO
3 - 2
APO
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
APO
1 - 0
APO
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
APO
1 - 4
ETH
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
APO
1 - 0
DOX
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |