Rapid Wien II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 4
RAP
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
RAP
4 - 1
AMS
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
FAC
3 - 3
RAP
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCW
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SKN
1 - 1
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
STF
2 - 1
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
VEI
1 - 3
STF
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 1
STF
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
STF
1 - 0
SKA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GMU
1 - 1
STF
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |