Menton vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Menton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
ROM
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 4
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FUR
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 2
UZE
38%
27%
34%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 2
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NIC
2 - 2
NIM
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |