Menton vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Menton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COR
2 - 2
ROM
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CON
0 - 3
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 0
GAR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GAR
0 - 1
NIC
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NIC
4 - 2
SCR
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |