Menton vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Menton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
NIC
4 - 0
ROM
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 1
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
UZE
4 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ROM
5 - 2
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
CON
38%
27%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCR
44%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |