Rapid Lienz vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RAP
6 - 2
GRI
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FLC
1 - 3
RAP
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 1
TRE
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SCL
1 - 0
RAP
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
RAP
3 - 2
FCW
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SCL
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
WAC
3 - 0
MIC
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MIC
0 - 0
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
VOL
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FLC
1 - 2
MIC
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |