Rapid Lienz vs St. Stefan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
RAP
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 0
VOL
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BLE
3 - 3
RAP
59%
23%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 2
SKA
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 0
SAS
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Stefan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCL
0 - 2
SKA
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WAC
0 - 1
SCL
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SCL
4 - 0
GRI
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FLC
0 - 4
SCL
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SCL
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |