Rapid Lienz vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BLE
2 - 0
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
RAP
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RAP
0 - 0
VOL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAP
67%
20%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
1 - 3
WEL
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
STE
5 - 2
FLC
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FLC
4 - 1
DRA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VEI
3 - 1
FLC
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
FLC
4 - 0
RUD
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FLC
6 - 1
SPI
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |