Rapid Lienz vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 1
RAP
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAP
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 0
UMA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WAC
4 - 2
RAP
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 3
BLE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BLE
2 - 2
SVV
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 1
BLE
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BLE
0 - 1
SKA
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |