Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
4º
4º
44
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
ACS
1 - 0
RAP
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
TII
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
3 - 3
RAP
58%
21%
20%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 4
ACS
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TII
2 - 3
RAP
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
TII
3 - 2
CSM
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ACS
3 - 0
CSM
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
3 - 3
RAP
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
1 - 1
TII
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CSM
3 - 1
ACS
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |