Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
9º
32
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TII
2 - 0
RAP
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 3
ACS
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 1
RAP
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 1
AER
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ACS
4 - 0
RAP
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 0
RAP
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 2
TII
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ACS
2 - 1
CSM
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 0
VAS
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |