Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
9º
9º
33
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
RAP
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 0
CSO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DBO
4 - 2
RAP
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
CSI
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 4
TII
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
3 - 1
BUC
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
CSM
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 1
FCC
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TII
0 - 1
CSM
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
4 - 0
CSM
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |