Gloria Ultra vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
9º
15
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ACS
4 - 0
RAP
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 5
BUC
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
5 - 1
RAP
70%
16%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
RAP
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
TII
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TII
2 - 0
AER
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 2
ACS
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 0
AER
25%
20%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
AER
1 - 0
RAP
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |