Raon-l'Etape vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
13º
12º
47
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
THA
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
RAO
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THL
4 - 2
RAO
47%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAO
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAN
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 1
MEZ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THA
2 - 0
TRO
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
SAR
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |