Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 7-0
Randers vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 3
RAN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RAN
3 - 2
VEJ
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
BIF
3 - 0
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RAN
0 - 0
OBK
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 5
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 2
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 2
CLI
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
LIN
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |