Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
5º
4º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCN
5 - 2
RAN
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
RAN
2 - 1
MID
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
RAN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MID
4 - 2
RAN
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
RAN
4 - 2
BIF
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
BIF
2 - 1
AGF
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 0
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 2
AGF
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |