Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
5º
35
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VFF
2 - 2
RAN
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
LYN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
0 - 0
RAN
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
3 - 0
TER
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 1
SAB
54%
22%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 0
ACH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
SIF
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AAB
0 - 1
AGF
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MFF
4 - 3
AGF
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
AGF
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |