Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
OBK
0 - 1
RAN
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SON
6 - 1
RAN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RAN
0 - 3
SKI
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 0
RAN
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 1
AKA
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
AGF
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 0
ESB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 2
GOR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 2
MID
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |