Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FCK
4 - 0
RAN
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
RAN
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
RAN
2 - 2
VFF
35%
25%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ESB
1 - 0
RAN
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RAN
4 - 0
SIF
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AGF
2 - 1
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
VFF
2 - 1
AGF
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AGF
1 - 3
SIF
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BIF
4 - 0
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AGF
3 - 3
OBK
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |