Randers vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1999 |
SVE
1 - 2
RAN
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
RAN
1 - 2
FAR
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
RAN
2 - 0
DAL
85%
12%
4%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
OLS
0 - 1
RAN
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
SGD
0 - 0
RAN
91%
6%
3%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1999 |
AAF
2 - 1
DAL
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
OLS
1 - 0
AAF
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
AAF
0 - 1
MID
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
ACH
0 - 2
AAF
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
VEJ
4 - 1
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -2 |