Segunda Estonia Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-2
Rakvere JK Tarvas vs Tulevik II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RAK
1 - 2
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tulevik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TUL
1 - 3
WAR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SIK
5 - 0
TUL
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
TUL
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TUL
0 - 0
LEV
14%
19%
68%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
TVM
1 - 1
TUL
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |