Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
46
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RAK
1 - 1
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GÓR
2 - 1
RAK
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 2
RAK
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
RAK
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 0
RAD
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WLO
1 - 0
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PGL
3 - 2
WLO
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CON
0 - 4
WLO
5%
15%
80%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 1
WLO
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WLO
2 - 0
CRA
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |