Rain / Lech vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ELT
2 - 2
RAI
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 2
186
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 0
WUR
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 0
RAI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
RAI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
MEM
0 - 0
ROS
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
MEM
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FRO
0 - 1
MEM
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MEM
0 - 2
BUC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NUR
0 - 1
MEM
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |