Rain / Lech vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
16º
17º
35
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
5 - 1
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
RAI
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KIR
2 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
RAI
59%
20%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
UNT
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 1
KIR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
ISM
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
ISM
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 0
SON
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |