Rain / Lech vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DJK
2 - 2
RAI
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 1
RAI
37%
23%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RAI
4 - 2
UNT
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
HAH
2 - 1
RAI
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RAI
2 - 0
SON
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 1
LAN
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
DAC
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DJK
0 - 1
BOG
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
BOG
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |