Rain / Lech vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
RAI
4 - 1
ING
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
TSV
1 - 0
RAI
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RAI
2 - 2
TUR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
RAI
1 - 2
TSA
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ING
2 - 4
RAI
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SSV
4 - 0
BAY
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
VIK
7 - 0
BAY
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 4
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 0
VIK
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
BAY
53%
22%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |