Rain / Lech vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 2
RAI
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RAI
1 - 1
ILL
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 1
RAI
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 0
BUC
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
RAI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 0
WAC
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAY
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 2
AUB
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EIC
0 - 1
BAY
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 0
TAM
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |