Rain / Lech vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
RAI
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
RAI
3 - 2
ERB
48%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
RAI
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
RAI
1 - 0
ROS
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 3
RAI
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 2
TSV
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
6 - 0
ANS
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ANS
0 - 2
SEL
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ERB
3 - 1
ANS
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
ANS
2 - 1
TSG
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |