Ragusa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIC
2 - 1
RAG
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RAG
1 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
RAG
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RAG
0 - 0
GEL
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
USV
2 - 1
RAG
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 3
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LIC
2 - 2
MES
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
CAV
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |