Rågsveds vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
3º
2º
15
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 50 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 48 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 13 |
14º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rågsveds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
RIF
4 - 1
ASI
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BKF
0 - 2
RIF
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
EKO
2 - 3
RIF
14%
17%
69%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
RIF
7 - 1
HUD
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SLE
0 - 2
RIF
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
ENS
3 - 0
SME
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SME
0 - 0
EIF
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SME
3 - 2
HUD
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ASI
2 - 2
SME
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SME
2 - 1
EKO
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |