RAFC vs Erdi VSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RAFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SBA
0 - 2
RAF
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 0
III
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 2
BAL
43%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
DVS
1 - 1
RAF
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 5
BDP
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Erdi VSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ERD
3 - 1
DIO
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 1
ERD
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ERD
1 - 1
SZA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 6
ERD
38%
24%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ERD
2 - 2
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |